I agree with the basic thrust of this article.
It shies away though from the cultural side of the revolt against neoliberalism.
British and American politics tend to be closely in sync: Harry Truman and Clement Attlee are the beginning of postwar embedded liberalism which was dominant during the Thirty Glorious Years until the mid-1970s, LBJ and Harold Wilson represent embedded liberalism at high tide in the 1960s, Reagan and Thatcher began the era of neoliberalism in the 1980s, Clinton and Blair represent neoliberalism at high tide in the 1990s and now Johnson and Trump bookend the demise of neoliberalism and the beginning of the post-liberal era.
“Boris Johnson’s big election victory this week drove another nail into the coffin of the brand of conservative politics Ronald Reagan and Margaret Thatcher first rode to power four decades ago.
As Mr. Johnson’s decisive win in a hotly contested national election illustrated, the conservative movement in the West now has become markedly more populist and nationalist, and appeals to a distinctly more working-class constituency. Fiscal restraint, once a cardinal tenet of conservatism, matters less; rewriting the rules that have governed the global economy matters more.
For now, that approach is working similarly on both sides of the Atlantic. Mr. Johnson prevailed by using a playbook similar to the one that delivered the White House to Mr. Trump three years ago.
“Populism is the future,” says Steve Bannon, a political strategist who helped engineer Mr. Trump’s 2016 victory. “Economic nationalism is the future.”
There are parallels on both sides of the Atlantic.
Trump was elected by disaffected White working class voters in the Rust Belt. The same people voted for BREXIT and just defected from the Labour Party en masse to the Conservatives. BREXIT was stymied for three years. Trump’s MAGA agenda has also been stymied for three years. Boris Johnson and the Conservatives will now have the power to push through Brexit. Johnson was weak until two days ago. Trump is a weak president who is being impeached. He hasn’t been able to get past the roadblocks thrown up by an entrenched neoliberal establishment. Not yet.
The challenges facing Trump and Johnson are the same: runaway immigration, rapidly changing demographics, “identity politics” becoming more salient, an unstable coalition of working class voters lorded over by a constipated oligarchy of wealthy donors and a lack of a vision and policies to move forward. Trump has been deferring to conservative elites and giving the donors what they want and that is rapidly catching up with him. In the UK, Labour was so awful that the rebellion of their base caught up with them before this same dynamic caught up with Johnson because the BREXIT and UKIP vote was separate from the Tories until the last election.
The next thirty years of Western history will be dominated by the National Question, changing demographics, the rise of China, the rise of AI and numerous other things. The fundamental issues are the same in all Western countries. The 2010s were the waning years of neoliberalism and a transition period. The next decade will be the beginning of the full blown crisis which will bring resolution to some of these issues. It is like watching a pot of water that is warm (2000s) and starting to boil (2010s) immediately before it boils over (2020s).
VDARE defines the National Question as being whether the U.S. (or any Western liberal democracy) can survive as a nation-state and as the political expression of a particular people. Cosmopolitanism is the notion that all human beings belong to a single community that is based on a shared morality. The bipartisan consensus of the “mainstream” under liberalism is cosmopolitanism. It holds that all European peoples have no legitimate claim to their nation-states and should be open to settlement, colonization and demographic replacement by all people because all European countries are based on nothing more than liberal values.
